Leadership, Ethics, and Trust, Financial Foundations Framework

Of Narratives and Numbers

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Image from October 2021 GFR

It is probably safe to assume that finance officers are more comfortable with numbers than most of the decision-makers the finance officer supports. These decision-makers are likely more comfortable with narratives. Numbers are often part of the conversation, but psychological research shows that people often grossly misunderstand and/or misuse numbers in favor of their preferred narrative. Of course, finance officers are people too, and they can fall prey to the same pitfalls as less numerate people. A better understanding of the relationship between narratives and numbers can help us structure decisions more wisely. In this article, we will explore narratives and numbers in four parts:

  1. What we see is all there is
  2. We string that into a casual story
  3. We continually confirm that story
  4. We translate our inferences imperfectly.

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